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05/28/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When your team has the second-worst record in the American League and boasts the lowest attendance totals in all of baseball, you're bound to be the butt of a few jokes.
That seems be the case for the Cleveland Indians, who are just 8-15 in the month of May and are approaching new levels of futility.
According to a recent report (with pictures) on the Dan LeBatard Show, Chicago White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen had some fun with a Cleveland fan prior to Tuesday's game. The fan had asked Guillen to sign a ball. Guillen obliged, sort of.
On the one side of the ball, he signed, "Bye Bye Lebron!! LOL." And on the other side, "When are you going to win anything in sports? Please."
For the record, Guillen later said he had signed the ball for a friend of his. Still, when it comes to a fan base as tortured as Cleveland's, Guillen would probably be wise to tap into his sensitivity training from a few years ago. In any case, you at least have to give the guy credit for always knowing how to stir the pot.
All jokes aside, Indians manager Manny Acta is turning over every stone to try and keep his team competitive amidst some major roster turnover. Among those efforts is the 'positive at-bats' channel, which is available to the hitters every day on the in-house monitor in the Progressive Field clubhouse. Essentially, the channel features that day's opposing starting pitcher. But rather than always showing the pitcher's last outing, as most clubs do, the 'positive at-bats' channel shows the last time he got shelled.
"It's positive reinforcement," hitting coach Jon Nunnally said. "It reminds them that they can get the pitch they want to get and have success."
Meanwhile, the front office is also doing its part to accelerate the rebuilding process. However, as general manager Mark Shapiro rolls up his sleeves and immerses himself in that process, he can't help but be reminded of the many failures from the past decade.
As a recent column in The Cleveland Plain Dealer pointed out, of the 28 players the team has drafted in the first and second rounds between 2000-06, Trevor Crowe is the only position player currently in the majors. Jeremy Guthrie (2002), Brian Tallet (2000) and David Huff (2006) represent the only pitchers in the big leagues, although that trio hasn't exactly drawn rave reviews.
But the tide appears to be turning with regard to some of the Tribe's high- profile prospects.
Mitch Talbot, a 2002 second-round pick by the Houston Astros, leads all big league rookies with six wins, and he trails only Tampa Bay's David Price (seven) among all American League hurlers.
Shortstop Jason Donald, a third-round pick by the Philadelphia Phillies who was acquired in the Cliff Lee deal, has started to come along since being called up May 18. Donald is 6-for-15 over the last five games, and on Tuesday he registered his first big league home run off White Sox' starter Jake Peavy. Donald has also turned heads with his smooth glove and high intensity.
Meanwhile, down in Triple-A Columbus, top prospect Carlos Santana is hitting .313 and just belted his 10th home run of the season on Wednesday. The catcher leads the International League in on-base percentage (.447) and walks (35), ranks third in slugging percentage (.573) and OPS (1.020), and is tied for third in homers and fourth in RBI (40).
Of course, Santana was signed by the Los Angeles Dodgers as a nondrafted free agent in 2004. With this year's draft quickly approaching on June 7, the Indians have the fifth pick. Obviously, they would love to strike gold in the later rounds or even find another nondraftee gem like Santana. But considering the way things have gone for the organization lately, it's almost imperative the team finds a player with that No. 5 pick.
DETROIT HOLDING LEADS
When leading in the seventh inning or later, the Detroit Tigers (25-21) have lost only two games this season, which is tied for the third-best mark in the American League. Now, consider that Detroit's starters are last in the league with 18 quality starts out of 46 games, and the picture becomes clearer as to why the Tigers remain in second place in the division, trailing Minnesota by 1 1/2 games.
Yes, the bullpen deserves most of the early-season kudos. In 11 of the Tigers' 25 wins, the bullpen hasn't allowed a run and has pitched at least three innings, according to the Detroit Free Press. But how long can they keep it up?
If the starters continue to rank last in the league in ERA (5.01) and innings pitched (257), probably not very long, one would figure. On three occasions this season, the Tigers have rallied to win after trailing by five runs in the sixth inning or later. While that may make for good TV, it's no way to go through a 162-game season. Sooner or later, the starters are going to have to hold up their end of the deal in Detroit.
CAUSE FOR CONCERN IN CHI-TOWN?
When it comes to the Chicago White Sox' schedule, there are no easy matchups.
Entering this weekend's four-game series with the Tampa Bay Rays, owners of the best record in all of baseball, Chicago was 14-14 against teams with records of .500 or better, but 6-12 against teams with losing records.
"I guess it's a matter of just gearing up for the big games," reliever Scott Linebrink told the Chicago Tribune. "It's a lesson to us that we need to take the same intensity all the time. There are no pushovers in the league. We've got to play good ball against everybody.
"(Young teams) sometimes are the most dangerous. They've got nothing to lose. They're not playing for anything, and you can tell they're playing relaxed."
In other team news, starting pitcher Jake Peavy clarified some comments he made following Tuesday's start, in which he gave up six earned runs in six innings and was charged with his fourth loss of the year. Multiple reports described Peavy as having arm fatigue after the game.
"I just said I didn't have good stuff and didn't feel that great," he told the team's Web site. "That's part of being a pitcher. You won't make 33 or 34 starts and feel good and have A-plus stuff. Stuff-wise, the ball wasn't crisp out of my hand. That's part of it. There are times where your arm doesn't respond the way you hope it would. The bottom line is I have to find ways to win and keep the team in the game."
Peavy added that he is sometimes honest to a fault, and he didn't mean for his comments to be misconstrued as having a tired arm. For what it's worth, the Chicago Tribune reported that Peavy would likely skip his bullpen session this week, thus giving his arm more rest leading up to Sunday's scheduled start against the Rays.
BLACKBURN, KUBEL SPARKING TWINS
The Minnesota Twins (27-20) will be glad they won't have to face the AL East again for a while, considering they went 5-10 this month against that division. Still, Minnesota remains in first place in the AL Central despite dropping three of four to the New York Yankees this week.
Two players who helped the Twins avoid a sweep against the Yankees, and who have also keyed the team's early-season success, are Jason Kubel and Nick Blackburn. Blackburn picked up the win in Thursday's 8-2 triumph, as he allowed just two runs in seven innings and did not issue a single walk. The win was Blackburn's fifth in as many outings during the month of May. Just a couple of weeks ago, he stifled the Yankees to three runs over seven innings for a 6-3 win in New York.
Ultimately, Kubel was the hero of that game in Yankee Stadium, as he blasted an eighth-inning grand slam off closer Mariano Rivera to seal the win. This time around, Kubel knocked two homers, collected three hits in all, and drove in five of the team's eight runs.
Kubel hasn't gotten off to a picture-perfect start, batting .233 with five homers as he's adjusted to sharing DH duties with Jim Thome. But he has driven in 27 runs, and Yankees manager Joe Girardi pointed to Kubel's performance last year to make the point that he certainly wasn't being overlooked in the series. Last season, Kubel set career-highs by hitting .300 with 28 homers and 103 RBI. Kubel said he is starting to get into a better groove offensively of late.
"I felt great all day," Kubel said following Thursday's victory. "That's something I haven't been doing too much lately, is just seeing the ball. Instead of swinging at everything, I was able to get some pitches to hit and put some good swings on them."
BUTLER CARRYING KANSAS CITY'S OFFENSE
By now, most baseball fans are aware that Justin Morneau is leading the majors in batting average (.377). Raise your hand if you know who is in second place.
That would be Royals first baseman Billy Butler, who would likely be well on his way to breakout stardom if he weren't playing in Kansas City. Butler has hit safely in 14 of his last 16 games and is hitting at a .348 clip on the season. Last year was his coming out party, as he hit .301 with 21 homers and 93 RBI.
"I don't know if it's because I play in Kansas City or something that they don't take any notice, but hopefully we start winning some more ballgames and people take notice of how good we all can hit," Butler told the team's Web site.
Manager Ned Yost credits Butler's approach, day-in and day-out, and his knack for always studying the game.
"If you ask me if I'd finish second in the league in hitting or get in the playoffs, you know which one I'd choose," Butler said.
Kansas City (20-28) has won two straight -- over Texas and Boston -- and is now just a half-game behind Chicago for third place in the division.
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MySportsbook.com: NBA Championship Odds
With the playoffs about two months away, the top two teams in the Western Conference are the clear cut leaders to win the NBA Championship. The Dallas Mavericks have the best record in the NBA (44-9) and have been absolutely scorching since the second week of the season. What makes the Mavs’ record more impressive is the fact that they dropped their first four games of the season. Currently they have won 17 out of their last 18 and are MySportsbook.com’s favorite (2-1) to win it all. Right behind the Mavs are the Pacific leading Phoenix Suns (39-13). Last season, the Suns lost in the Conference Finals to non-other then the Mavericks four games to two. Of course the Suns were without center Amare Stoudemire who has is averaging 19.9 PPG and 9.5 RPG since coming back from his knee injury. Unlike the Mavs, the Suns have struggled a bit lately having lost their last three and four out of their last seven. Of course the main reason for their three straight loses is due to the absence of two time MVP Steve Nash, who is out with a shoulder injury. Heads-up, the Mavs have beaten the Suns in both of their meetings this season.
In the Eastern Conference, the Pistons (32-19) are the favorites to win it all at 6-1. The addition of Chris Webber seems to have been a good move for the Pistons. Since coming over from the 76ers, Webber has averaged 13.1 PPG and 7.3 RPG and the Pistons are 11-4. Even though the defending champion Heat are currently on the playoff making cusp, they are the Eastern Conference team that is getting the most action to win it all (9-1). The fact that Shaquille O’Neal is back in the starting lineup after missing 39 games probably has something to do with this. No doubt, Shaq makes a difference when in the lineup as their winning six out of their last seven would indicate.
Just because it is the All-Star break doesn’t mean that you can’t bet on NBA hoops this weekend. Be sure to log onto MySportsbook.com to bet on who you think will cut down the nets this July. Also, be sure to check out all of the lines and props for All-Star weekend. With the highest credit card acceptance rate in the industry, there are plenty of ways to cash in on the NBA this weekend.
MySportsbook.com’s NBA Championship odds:
Atlanta Hawks 1000-1
Boston Celtics 5000-1
Charlotte Bobcats 5000-1
Chicago Bulls 20-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 20-1
Dallas Mavericks 2-1
Denver Nuggets 25-1
Detroit Pistons 6-1
Golden State Warriors 250-1
Houston Rockets 12-1
Indiana Pacers 60-1
Los Angeles Clippers 45-1
Memphis Grizzlies 5000-1
Miami Heat 9-1
Milwaukee Bucks 1000-1
Minnesota T-Wolves 200-1
New Jersey Nets 50-1
New Orleans Hornets 150-1
New York Knicks 150-1
Orlando Magic 75-1
Philadelphia 76ers 1000-1
Phoenix Suns 5-2
Portland TrailBlazers 1000-1
Sacramento Kings 250-1
San Antonio Spurs 9-1
Seattle Sonics 5000-1
Toronto Raptors 35-1
Utah Jazz 20-1
Washington Wizards 25-1
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While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
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