Chen and Dambaugh in U.S. Girls' Junior final

Golf Betting Lines

07/23/2010 - Village of Pinehurst, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Doris Chen and Katelyn Dambaugh won both of their matches on Friday to advance to the final of the U.S. Girls' Junior Championship.

Chen first knocked off stroke-play medalist Danielle Kang in Friday's quarterfinals, then toppled Gyeol Park, 4 & 3 in Friday afternoon's semifinal action.

Dambaugh had an easier time of it on Friday. She beat Stephanie Liu, 2 & 1 in the quarterfinals and crushed Ally McDonald, 7 & 6 in the afternoon's semifinals.

If Dambaugh were to emerge victorious in Saturday's 36-hole final, she would become the first female left-handed player to win a USGA championship. There were five left-handed male golfers to hoist a USGA trophy, but Dambaugh could be the first female.

Dambaugh fell 1-down in her match against Liu, but pulled ahead with wins at five and six. She stayed in front the rest of the match and even built a 2-up lead through 11 holes.

Liu cut her deficit to 1-down when Dambaugh double-bogeyed the 12th. Liu bogeyed the par-three 16th to go 2-down with two to play, then Dambaugh closed out the match at 17 when the pair both made pars.

"I didn't expect to get this far," Dambaugh admitted Friday after her quarterfinal win. "I was just hoping to make the cut."

When Dambaugh got to the semifinals against McDonald, she won the second hole and never looked back. She built a 5-up lead at the turn and extended to 6-up with a par at No. 10.

McDonald made a mess of the par-five 12th and that was enough for Dambaugh. She won the hole and that ended the route at 7 & 6.

Chen never trailed in her match against Kang. They halved the first five holes and Chen won the sixth with a par. She got to 2-up at eight, but Kang won nine to get back to 1-down.

Chen birdied the par-three 13th and was once again 2-up. The match stayed at 2-up until Kang took the 16th with a par. The two halved the 17th with birdies, then halved 18 with pars to allow Chen to advance.

"I didn't play well the first two rounds," Chen said after her quarterfinal win. "I wasn't hitting the ball as well in the practice rounds. Since the third round, I am hitting more back to normal. I know where I cannot hit it. I am just improving every day."

In the semifinals, Chen jumped out early against Park with a win at the third. Chen's advantage was 3-up at the turn and after a par at No. 10, she was 4-up.

Chen stayed 4-up over the next five holes and that was enough to move her into the final.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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